is this the exit plan A B C D E ?
[ Dhaka Shohor blog has details of this iftar party]
So here is the exit honor roll:
[ The exit masters themselves are being exited in rapid succession. What a pity!]
Dr Kamal Hossain
Ferdous Ahmed Qureshi
RATS
Mannan Bhuiyan
Badruddoza Chowdhury ? Naaah!
Badruddoza Chowdhury
I see no hope but to rely on this person to come down and help execute a successful exit plan.
In the Middle of Nowhere 
October 8, 2007 at 6:07 pm
I can just hear the interview:
Aar keu jokhon jaati ke dik nirdeshona dite paarsilo na, jokhon rajnitibidra dayitto nilen na, jokhon Dr Kamal Hossain aar Dr B CHowdhury’s moton manush o bertho holo, tokhon amar aar ki korar chilo? Aami to jati ke anarchy aar chaos-er moddhe fele dite paari na. I had to accept this position as there was no other way out for our nation.
October 8, 2007 at 8:56 pm
Yes. Vin groho theke ‘alien’ eshe udhdhar na korla amader ar goti nai.
October 9, 2007 at 3:49 am
Task is also cut out. They may just recycle the speech from thai general who just became the deputy pm.
October 9, 2007 at 4:47 am
Dr. Yunus is feeling left out because his name is not in this list, Rumi bhai.
October 9, 2007 at 5:18 am
ALthough I am very pissed off at Dr Yunus’s shameless pro-government stand ( from well before 1/11), I still feel that he quit political adventure as soon as he understood that he is being prepped to be the executor of someone’s exit plan.
October 9, 2007 at 5:38 am
Zillur Rahman’s attendance and endorsement of the plan spices it up quite well.
I have a feeling Zillur can be very easily convinced by anybody. Thats why he is flip flopping so much in all directions. When Tofail talks to him in confidence, he starts supporting CTG. When he meets mid level and grass roots, he starts demanding immediate withdrawl of emergency. I don’t know before endorsing B Chowdhury plan, whom he discussed with in party platform. I am pretty sure he will come out against this plan next time he meets the press.
Here is an elderly man who, all his life, depeneded on his wife for political directions. He is now a little lost without Ivy Rahman beside him.
October 9, 2007 at 10:30 pm
But isn’t that exactly why Zillur Rahman was placed in the role of AL President in the first place?
October 10, 2007 at 2:18 am
Ahhh tacit,
Now you’ve hit on a key aspect of an autocrat’s dilemma. In a non-institutionalised, personality-based structure the person at the top cannot trust those below not to displace him/her and take over. There is a struggle between loyalty vs. ambition. Usually blindly loyal people tend to be less competent/efficient than ambitious people. However, if the top were to have only incompetents serving below them, then that would be a problem too.
One quick solution: rely on the family. In the absence of family, take your Zillur Rahman (more loyal than ambitious) over your RATS anyday.
Long-term solution: put down a contract with your party on paper and don’t break it for anyone. Not yourself, not your family and not your friends. That’s institutionalisation and that leads to ambitious people being forced to be loyal (for the most part).
Simplified picture, but hope that answers part of the paradox!
October 10, 2007 at 7:47 am
Ambitious people can be willfully misleading though, not sure that that is better than haplessly incompetant. Both are confounding, the first is more directly evil. I’m thinking AM Bhuiya wrt Khaleda Zia.
October 10, 2007 at 3:30 pm
In that case, what’ll the analysis be if Begum Zia gives a similar responsibility to Col. Oli? Do you think that’ll be a good move?
October 11, 2007 at 3:22 am
And here is Zilur Rahman…..2 days later……
Zillur takes a U-turn on unity govt proposal
Source BDnews
October 11, 2007 at 3:25 am
I just came by to post this story and I see its been posted already! Kinda proves my point about the dangers of having incompetent but loyal leiutenants. What say you sir tacit?
October 11, 2007 at 3:32 am
Hmmmm…. I really don’t know much about Oli other than his antagonism with TZ. Rumi bhai is the go-to person there.
This is how I see the model working:
If BNP had rules that allowed for more voice and dissent from the bottom and it enforced them, then I’d say a priori that Oli would have stood by a jailed KZ to save his own skin and secure his own (future) ambitions within the party.
In the absence of that scenario, what incentive does KZ have to leave an ambitious man like Oli in charge? He’ll just simply take up her position inside the party and dictate from the top without any dissent from the bottom.
All this is a simple model as I’ve said tacit. A lot of the outcome might just depend on the persons themselves.
PS> Mr. M. Amin please note that all this is a hypothetical situation, not an attempt to sow the seeds of chaos inside BNP through the overwhlemingly powerful medium of the blog!
October 11, 2007 at 7:03 am
Maybe the best thing KZ can do, for the reorganisation for the ‘old values’ crew, is to extinguish her political flame, leaving no trails for others.
In a final blaze of glory she could also take out SHW leaving the space clear for new formations with spine. I do wonder if they meet for iftari and what they might say.
October 11, 2007 at 1:13 pm
tsk tsk fugstar, KZ and SHW have lived through so much history, don’t you think they know what’s best for the country?
October 11, 2007 at 4:14 pm
strange noise that young paduan, might want to see a dentist.
Dr Alternative has potential i think.
Eid mubarak wherever you are.
October 11, 2007 at 10:02 pm
Eid Mubarak to you too young jedi knight!:)
October 13, 2007 at 1:46 pm
tacit,
Re: #10, I’m very impressed. Did you get wind of this somehow? From bdnews24:
October 13, 2007 at 3:26 pm
Thanks AsifY, too kind. The option has been under discussion for a while. I don’t know if things will work out in the end, but Col. Oli is more than a match for Mannan Bhuiyan, in most ways.
But Col. Oli is also a proud and intractable man. As Communications Minister in the first BNP government, he deserves major personal credit for overseeing the Bongobondhu Jamuna bridge. However, he also forced the police IG at that time, Enamul Huq, to resign, because the latter defied an order from Oli to open fire on a group of laborers who were on strike and were blockading the Aricha Ferry terminal.
October 13, 2007 at 8:50 pm
Rumi is an expert in algorithm or laundry list of differential diagnoses and probable Rxs but couldn’t come up yet with any pin-point dx and sure-shot Rx.
For many years I had attended political meetings at the then Dacca city and listened to the hundreds of politicians on-site as that was my most favorite hobby then.
But now a days, when I read and see them in the media constantly flip-flopping or saumersalting, sometimes I laugh at, sometimes make parody and sing about them.
Dear Rumi and the fellow blogers don’t take it a big offence as I tell you once I commented on Zillur Rahman as the MOHA-STUPID as he remarked in his speech that Late Zia had no rule in our independence and he [Zia] was none but a salaried sepoy of Probashi government of Mujibnagar. That was about 15 years ago. Now much of water has been flowed through Padma-Meghna-Jamuna and also much blood had been drained in the city-drains of Bangladesh including the blood of Mrs. Ivy Rahman, beleoved better-half of elderly widower Mr. ZR. At this stage I don’t want to comment on him.
But about BD chowdhury, I’m waiting to see his politics of merit or geniosity. In the mean time, I have seen some after-effect of too much of merit of BDC, for which he was once given a some uttom-moddhayam by Falus’ Bayaddab cadres in Tejgaon area during the honey-period of BIKAL-DHARA politics. This is the guy who was once a talk-showster ‘Apnar Dhakter’ who got a political sky-lifting to be at the number 2 political position of BNP by late Zia and we witnessed how shamelessly and ungratefully his merit failed to show Zia the most appropriate and due respect as the Declarer of Independence.
And when Oli talks, it instantly reminds the purano-diner gaan ” Olir Kota Shune Bakul Hashe, Koi Tumi Aamar Kota Shune Hashonato…” and I start singing ” Olir Kota Shune Bakuuf Hashe, Koi Tumi Aamar Kota Shune Hashonato…”
Thanks.
October 13, 2007 at 9:26 pm
Bitterboy is always good value for entertainment. But sometimes, behind the labyrinth of bitterness, he does have a few insights. His comment above is one such.
It highlights the search for the centre-right leadership. Hannan Bhuyian and Dr Oli Chowdhury seem to have flopped. The choice it seems to me is between Mrs Zia and the General. I’m going to crack open a box of pop corn and watch the show.
October 14, 2007 at 2:01 am
The response from BNP about OLi would be like this,
‘you are always welcome to come back. We didn’t expel you, you yourself left us. But about leadership? Thanks, but no thanks. BNP is well organized and united under Khaleda Zia and Kh Delwar, who is doing a superb job.’.
Anyone can come back to BNP, no doubt, but leadership has to be dealt with very carefully. OLi, always a loose canon, may be more of a trouble in the long run as the leader. That was one of the two major reasons Hannan Shah didn’t get the leadership.
Whatever Prothom Alo keep on writing out of its own dream, even Mannan Bhuiyan came back to BNP last week. She brought back the the wall mounted Khaleda Zia photo in his drawing room.
And in Awami League Mukul Bose is now a Tokai, and all RATS have effectively changed their tone.