Last September I wrote about the coup detat in Thailand and its possible implication in the future of Bangladesh politics.

Ten months later the current events will judge whether really the Thai coup had any implication on Bangladesh politics.

However again, the new political developements that just came out of Thailand, may have a strong similarity to the percieved future of Bangladesh politics.

Let me recap the news that came in wires yesterday.

Thailand’s military-backed government on Tuesday lifted a ban on political activities in the country, paving the way for members of the dissolved ex ruling party to regroup. ‘The cabinet agreed for existing political parties and groups of politicians to carry out their political activities,’ government spokesman told reporters after a cabinet meeting. ‘This resolution is effective immediately,’ he added. After seizing power in a bloodless coup last September, the junta suspended all political activity. Last week, Thailand’s court dissolved the party founded by ousted premier Thaksin Shinawatra, after finding it guilty of electoral fraud. The court banned 111 senior party members including Thaksin from politics for five years. Other members of this ex ruling party had petitioned Thai interim prime minister on Monday to lift the ban on political activity, saying it had hampered their efforts to form a new party. They warned that if it were not lifted, elections promised by the junta by December this year would not be democratic, fair or transparent.

Now if you change the word Thailand to Bangladesh, push the dateline forward by three months from now, will the news report sound too unlikely for the context of Bangladesh?

In Thailand, Thaksin’s party TRT was involved in a pitched battle with the opposition. Looks like the militay backed interim government clearly took the side of the opposition parties by dissolving TRT only and disbanning 111 senior leadership of TRT.

Their initial intention to go Pakistan style and purge both the political leadrs face stiff resiatance and recent Pakistan events also do not project a bright future of the plan.

In Bangladesh context, I have a feeling the current ruling entity has shelved their pakistan style intention now. But it seems the ruling entity is not yet ready to follow Thai style to take the side of one party of the conflict. Could they do it, there job would have been much easier. Destroying BNP only and having a new election with AL led coalition and a new rebuilt-refined BNP is a less daunting task than clipping the wings of both Hasina-Khaleda.

The reason, that the Thai style stand has not been whole heartedly embraced so far, in my opinion, is the personal grudge of many of the CTG leadership against Sheikh Hasina and fear of not sending the wrong signal to the junior and non commissioned ranks in the armed forces. Different activities of AL, including planting of the present WSJ article also do not help the process.

Or may be who knows the CTG has exactly this same plan. Have the new rennovated BNP ( with a new name?) face smeared weakened Sheikh Hasina led Awami League.

Anyway do we have any option left but to go the Thai way? If it is again AL-BNP dog-fight old style… do the hope for a return to sanity and a sustained peace stand any chance?

Early in her rule, Khaleda Zia pioneered a look east policy. Rather depending on India, her governmnet wanted to strengthen the ties with Burma and Thailand. Looks like now Khaleda’s own political future itself is looking eastward.

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